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  • 标题:A Multiplicative Seasonal Box-Jenkins Model to Nigerian Stock Prices
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Ette Harrison Etuk
  • 期刊名称:Interdisciplinary Journal of Research in Business
  • 印刷版ISSN:2046-7141
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:2
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:01-07
  • 出版社:Center for Research Promotion
  • 摘要:

    Time series analysis of Nigerian Stock Prices Data is done. The data used is monthly from 1987 to 2006. The time plot reveals a negative trend and no clear seasonality. A multiplicative seasonal model is suggestive given seasonality that tends to increase with time. Seasonal differencing once produced a series with a slightly positive trend but still with no discernible stationarity. A non-seasonal differencing of the seasonal differences yielded a series with no trend but with a correlogram revealing stationarity of order 12 and a seasonal moving average component . A multiplicative seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, (0, 1, 1)x(0, 1, 1)12, is fitted to the series.

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