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  • 标题:The Information Contents of VIX Index and Range-based Volatility on Volatility Forecasting Performance of S&P 500
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jui-Cheng Hung ; Ren-Xi Ni ; Matthew C. Chang
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:29
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:2592-2604
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:In this paper, we investigate the information contents of S&P 500 VIX index and range-based volatilities by comparing their benefits on the GJR-based volatility forecasting performance. To reveal the statistical significance and ensure obtaining robust results, we employ Hansen's SPA test (2005) to examine the forecasting performances of GJR and GJR-X models for the S&P500 stock index. The results indicate that combining VIX and range-based volatilities into GARCH-type model can both enhance the one-step-ahead volatility forecasts while evaluating with different kinds of loss functions. Moreover, regardless of under-prediction, GJR-VIX model appears to be the most preferred, which implies that VIX index has better information content for improving volatility forecasting performance
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