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  • 标题:A Short Note on the Nowcasting and the Forecasting of Euro-area GDP Using Non-Parametric Techniques
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Dominique Guégan ; Patrick Rakotomarolahy
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:30
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:508-518
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:The aim of this paper is to introduce a new methodology to forecast the monthly economic indicators used in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) modelling in order to improve the forecasting accuracy. Our approach is based on multivariate k-nearest neighbors method and radial basis function method for which we provide new theoretical results. We apply these two methods to compute the quarter GDP on the Euro-zone, comparing our approach, with GDP obtained when we estimate the monthly indicators with a linear model, which is often used as a benchmark
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