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  • 标题:Where enterprise leads, finance follows. In-sample and out-of-sample evidence on the causal relation between finance and growth
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Matthias Hartmann ; Helmut Herwartz ; Yabibal M. Walle
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:32
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:871-882
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:Evidence on the causality between finance and growth is largely inconclusive. In this study, a large cross-sectional data set of 74 economies for the period between 1975 and 2005 is examined. We summarise evidence from in-sample and out-of-sample causality tests based on rolling estimation steps. It is found that growth impacts on financial development in a stronger way than vice versa. These findings are consistent if economies are categorised into distinct income groups.
  • 关键词:Finance-growth nexus; Granger causality; directional accuracy
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