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  • 标题:Test of the Impossible Trinity Hypothesis for Five Selected Countries in the Asian and Pacific Regions
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Yu Hsing
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:32
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:616-623
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:This paper examines the functional form of the impossible trinity hypothesis for five selected countries in the Asian and Pacific regions including Australia, Japan, New Zealand, Singapore and South Korea. The linear, log-log and semi-log forms are compared. Based on the mean absolute percent error and Akaike information criterion, we find that the semi-log form on the dependent variable performs better than the other three forms. The goodness of fit is relatively high, suggesting that there is support for the impossible trinity hypothesis. These countries may adopt different policy combinations. Australia maintains a middle ground approach to all three goals. South Korea emphasizes monetary policy independence and financial market openness and allows the exchange rate of the won to fluctuate freely based on market forces.
  • 关键词:Impossible trinity; trilemma; exchange rate stability; monetary policy independence; financial market openness; functional form
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