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  • 标题:Unemployment in the US. Unemployment rate versus claimant counts. Mean reversion, persistence or hysteresis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Luis a. Gil-alana ; Liang Jiang
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:33
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:1978-1982
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:This paper deals with the analysis of US unemployment by means of I(d) techniques and using two different measures, the unemployment rate and the initial claims at different data frequencies. The results indicate that the unemployment rate series are I(d) with d constrained between 0.5 and 1, while the initial claim series display orders of integration close to 1. Thus, mean reversion is only obtained in case of the unemployment rate while the hysteresis hypothesis seems to be supported by the claimant counts.
  • 关键词:Unemployment rate; persistence; long memory
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