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  • 标题:Do crude oil price changes affect the economic growth of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Muhammad Akram ; Reza Mortazavi
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:33
  • 期号:3
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:This paper analyses the effects of crude oil price changes on the economic growth of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh. We used a multivariate Vector Autoregressive analysis followed by Wald Granger causality test and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Wald Granger causality test results show that only India's economic growth is significantly affected when crude oil price decreases. Impact of crude oil price increase is insignificantly negative for all three countries during first year. In the second year, impact is negative but smaller than first year for India, negative but larger for Bangladesh and positive for Pakistan.
  • 关键词:Oil price shocks; Economic growth; Vector Autoregressive; Impulse response function; Wald Granger causality test
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