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  • 标题:New Evidence of Technical Trading Profitability
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Viktor Manahov ; Robert Hudson
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:33
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:2493-2503
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:We developed profitable foreign exchange forecasts by applying a special adaptive form of the Strongly Typed Genetic Programming (STGP)-based learning algorithm to five-minute high frequency data of six of the most traded currency pairs. We examined the out-of-sample performance of these intraday technical trading models based on STGP and optimised linear forecasting. We found evidence of economically and statistically significant out-of-sample excess returns, after taking into account appropriate transaction costs.
  • 关键词:Foreign Exchange; Genetic Programming
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