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  • 标题:Coupling Biophysical and Socioeconomic Models for Coral Reef Systems in Quintana Roo, Mexican Caribbean
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jessica Melbourne-Thomas ; Craig R Johnson ; Pascal Perez
  • 期刊名称:Ecology and Society
  • 印刷版ISSN:1708-3087
  • 电子版ISSN:1708-3087
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 卷号:16
  • 期号:3
  • 出版社:The Resilience Alliance
  • 摘要:Transdisciplinary approaches that consider both socioeconomic and biophysical processesare central to understanding and managing rapid change in coral reef systems worldwide. To date, therehave been limited attempts to couple the two sets of processes in dynamic models for coral reefs, and theseattempts are confined to reef systems in developed countries. We present an approach to coupling existingbiophysical and socioeconomic models for coral reef systems in the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. Thebiophysical model is multiscale, using dynamic equations to capture local-scale ecological processes onindividual reefs, with reefs connected at regional scales by the ocean transport of larval propagules. Theagent-based socioeconomic model simulates changes in tourism, fisheries, and urbanization in the QuintanaRoo region. Despite differences in the formulation and currencies of the two models, we were able tosuccessfully modify and integrate them to synchronize and define information flows and feedbacks betweenthem. A preliminary evaluation of the coupled model system indicates that the model gives reasonablepredictions for fisheries and ecological variables and can be used to examine scenarios for future social–ecological change in Quintana Roo. We provide recommendations for where efforts might usefully befocused in future attempts to integrate models of biophysical and socioeconomic processes, based on thelimitations of our coupled system
  • 关键词:biophysical; coral reefs; coupled models; decision support; socioeconomic; social–ecological;systems
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