期刊名称：International Journal of Managing Information Technology
印刷版ISSN：0975-5926
电子版ISSN：0975-5586
出版年度：2013
卷号：5
期号：4
DOI：10.5121/ijmit.2013.540333
出版社：Academy & Industry Research Collaboration Center (AIRCC)
摘要：In this article, we analyze the application of options contract in the special commodity supply chain such as fresh agricultural products. This problem is discussed from the point of the retailer. When spot market and future market are both available, we discuss how the retailer chooses the optimal production. Furthermore, overconfidence is introduced to the supply chain of the fresh agricultural products, which has not happened before. Then£¬based on the overconfidence of the retailer, we explore how overconfidence affects the supply chain system under different circumstances. At last, we get the conclusion that different overconfidence level has different affection on retailer's optimal ordering quantity and profit
