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  • 标题:Integrative model analysis of adaptation measures to a warmer and drier climate
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mathias KIRCHNER ; Franziska STRAUSS ; Christine HEUMESSER
  • 期刊名称:Jahrbuch der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie
  • 印刷版ISSN:1815-1027
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:21
  • 期号:1
  • 出版社:Facultas
  • 摘要:We assess the economic and environmental consequences of alternative adaptation measures to a warmer and drier climate in the crop production region Marchfeld in Austria. Our integrated model analysis reveals that increasing temperatures without changes in precipitation patterns (compared to the period 1976-2005) may be slightly beneficial for agricultural producers in the Marchfeld, at least until 2040. However, we also find that if drought events become more frequent, this may exert high pressure on groundwater resources as farmers are likely to irrigate most of the arable land. Furthermore, this could decrease producer surpluses due to the additional costs of irrigation
  • 关键词:integrative model analysis; chance constrained ;programming; adaptation measures; climate change; Marchfeld
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