期刊名称：Jahrbuch der Österreichischen Gesellschaft für Agrarökonomie
印刷版ISSN：1815-1027
出版年度：2013
卷号：22
期号：2
出版社：Facultas
摘要：Agriculture is among the economic sectors most exposed to climate change. The main objective of this article is to present the interface be-tween a sectoral bottom-up and a Computational General Equilibrium top-down model to analyze impacts and adaptation from four climate simulations at sector and macroeconomic level for 2020 and 2040. Agri-cultural gross margins increase by ¡À0% to +3% on average indicating moderate gains from climate change in the next decades. However, gains and losses may vary at regional level, which requires targeting of adaptation measures to specific local contexts. While direct effects in agriculture are relative stronger than knock-on effects to the economy, indirect impacts are clearly stronger in absolute terms
关键词：climate change impacts; adaptation; bottom-up land use ;modeling; computable general equilibrium (CGE) modeling
