期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
电子版ISSN:1830-3439
出版年度:2008
卷号:1
出版社:European Central Bank
摘要:In the wake of high and rising oil prices since 2003, the member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have seen dynamic economic development, enhancing their role in the global economy as investors and trade partners. Real GDP growth has been buoyant, with non-oil activity expanding faster than oil GDP. Macroeconomic developments have also been characterised by large fi scal and current account surpluses as a result of rising oil revenues, notwithstanding fi scal expansion and rapid import growth. The most signifi cant macroeconomic challenge faced by GCC countries is rising infl ation in an environment in which the contribution of monetary policy to containing infl ationary pressure is constrained by the exchange rate regimes. The overall favourable macroeconomic backdrop of recent years has provided GCC countries with an opportunity to tackle long-standing structural challenges, such as the diversifi cation of oil-centred economies and reform of the labour markets. In a global context, apart from developing into a pole of global economic growth, GCC countries – together with other oil-exporting countries – have become a major net supplier of capital in global markets, second only to East Asia. As a result, they have become part of the international policy debate on global imbalances. Furthermore, GCC countries are home to some of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds, which raises several fi nancial stability issues. Their role as trade partners has also increased, with the European Union being the only major region in the world maintaining a signifi cant surplus in bilateral trade with the GCC. GCC countries are also key players in global energy markets in terms of production, exports and the availability of spare capacity. Their role is likely to become even more pivotal in the future as they command vast oil and gas reserves and benefi t from relatively low costs in exploiting oil reserves.
关键词:Gulf Cooperation Council; global;imbalances; sovereign wealth funds; fi nancial;stability; oil markets