首页    期刊浏览 2024年10月06日 星期日
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:3-step analysis of public finances sustainability: the case of the European Union
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:António Afonso ; Christophe Rault
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF specific panel unit root test to investigate the meanreverting behaviour of general government expenditure and revenue ratios. Secondly, we apply the bootstrap panel cointegration techniques that account for the time series and cross-sectional dependencies of the regression error. Thirdly, we check for a structural long-run equation between general government expenditures and revenues via SUR analysis. While results imply that public finances were not unsustainable for the EU panel, fiscal sustainability is an issue in most countries, with a below unit estimated coefficient of expenditure in the cointegration relation with revenue as the dependent variable.
  • 关键词:fiscal sustainability; EU; panel cointegration.
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有