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  • 标题:House Prices and the stance of Monetary Policy
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Marek Jarociński ; Frank Smets
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:This paper estimates a Bayesian VAR for the US economy which includes a housing sector and addresses the following questions. Can developments in the housing sector be explained on the basis of developments in real and nominal GDP and interest rates? What are the effects of housing demand shocks on the economy? How does monetary policy affect the housing market? What are the implications of house price developments for the stance of monetary policy? Regarding the latter question, we implement a version of a Monetary Conditions Index (MCI) due to Céspedes et al. (2006).
  • 关键词:House prices; monetary conditions index; Bayesian VAR; monetary policy shock; conditional forecast.
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