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  • 标题:A markup model of inflation for the euro area
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Christopher Bowdler ; Eilev S. Jansen
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long-run markup of prices over costs is fixed, but this may not be true for the Euro area economy, which has undergone major structural reforms over the last 25 years. We allow for shifts in the markup factor through estimating an equation that includes a timevarying intercept. The model fits the data better than a linear alternative, and suggests that a reduction in the price-cost markup contributed to disinflation in the Euro area during the 1980s.
  • 关键词:inflation; price-cost markup; cointegration; time-varying intercept;dynamic modelling.
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