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  • 标题:Fiscal policy and growth: do financial crises make a difference?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:António Afonso ; Hans Peter Grüner ; Christina Kolerus
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:In this paper we assess to what extent in the existence of a financial crisis, government spending can contribute to mitigate economic downturns in the short run and whether such impact differs in crisis and non crisis times. We use panel analysis for a set of OECD and non-OECD countries for the period 1981-2007. The fiscal multiplier for the full sample for instrumented regular and crisis spending is about 0.6-0.8 considering the sample average government spending share of GDP of about one third. Altogether, we cannot reject the hypothesis that crisis spending and regular spending have the same impact using a variation of controls, sub-samples and specifications.
  • 关键词:fiscal policy; financial crisis; growth; OECD; EU; panel analysis.
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