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  • 标题:Bayesian prior elicitation in DSGE models: macro- vs micro-priors
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Marco J. Lombardi ; Giulio Nicoletti
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:Bayesian approaches to the estimation of DSGE models are becoming increasingly popular. Prior knowledge is normally formalized either be information concerning deep parameters’ values (‘microprior’) or some macroeconomic indicator, e.g. moments of observable variables (‘macroprior’). In this paper we introduce a non parametric prior which is elicited from impulse response functions. Results show that using either a microprior or a macroprior can lead to different posterior estimates. We probe into the details of our result, showing that model misspecification is to blame for that.
  • 关键词:DSGE Models; Bayesian Estimation; Prior Distribution; Impulse;Response Function
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