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  • 标题:Euro area labour markets: different reaction to shocks?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jan Brůha ; Beatrice Pierluigi ; Roberta Serafini
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2011
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:A small labour market model for the six largest euro area countries (Germany, The model entails, in the long run, four driving forces: a trend labour force component, a trend labour productivity component, a long-run inflation rate and a trend hours worked component. The short run dynamics is governed by a VAR model including six shocks. The state-space framework is convenient for the decomposition of endogenous variables in trends and cycles, for shock decomposition, for incorporating external the model is rather satisfactory. The model is used to carry out a policy experiment with the objective of investigating whether euro area countries differ in the labour market adjustment to a reduction wage growth would significantly help delivering a more job-intense recovery.
  • 关键词:Labor market; Forecasting; Kalman filter
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