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  • 标题:Feedback to the ECB's monetary analysis: the Bank of Russia's experience with some key tools
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Alexey Ponomarenko ; Elena Vasilieva ; Franziska Schobert
  • 期刊名称:Euro Area Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1830-3420
  • 电子版ISSN:1830-3439
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 出版社:European Central Bank
  • 摘要:The paper investigates to what extent some basic tools of the ECBs monetary analysis can be useful for other central banks given their specific institutional, economic and financial environment. We take the case of the Bank of Russia in order to show how to adjust methods and techniques of monetary analysis for an economy that differs from the euro area as regards, for instance, the role of the exchange rate, the impact of dollarization and the functioning of sovereign wealth funds. A special focus of the analysis is the estimation of money demand functions for different monetary aggregates. The results suggest that there are stable relationships with respect to income and wealth and to a lesser extent to uncertainty variables and opportunity costs. Furthermore, the analysis also delivers preliminary results of the information content of money for inflation and for real economic development.
  • 关键词:Money demand; transition countries; cointegration analysis; inflation; real;economic activity
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