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  • 标题:Explaining Inflation-Gap Persistence by a Time-Varying Taylor Rule
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Christian Conrad ; Thomas A. Eife
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Paper Series / Universität Heidelberg, Department of Economics
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:2012
  • 出版社:Universität Heidelberg, Department of Economics
  • 摘要:In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the in.ation-gap persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank'sTaylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches toin.ation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes inU.S. in.ation-gap persistence during the period 1975 to 2010 can be well explainedby changes in the conduct of monetary policy. Our findings are in line with Be-nati's (2008) view that in.ation persistence should not be considered a structuralparameter in the sense of Lucas
  • 关键词:in.ation-gap persistence; Great Moderation; monetary policy; New Keyne-;sian model; Taylor rule
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