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  • 标题:The role of assessments and judgement in the macroeconomic model RIMINI
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Kjetil Olsen ; Fredrik Wulfsberg
  • 期刊名称:Economic Bulletin / Norges Bank
  • 印刷版ISSN:0029-1676
  • 电子版ISSN:1503-8831
  • 出版年度:2001
  • 期号:2
  • 出版社:Norges Bank
  • 摘要:The Inflation Report's projections for economic developments are important for Norges Bank's conduct ofmonetary policy. The macroeconomic model RIMINI is used as a tool in developing these projections. Thisarticle provides insight into key aspects of the model's description of the inflation mechanism and how themodel is used to make economic forecasts. Assessments and judgement play an important role in this work.The assessments are partly based on systematic analysis of current statistics and information from other modelsthat shed light on temporary factors. Historical forecast errors also provide insight into the use of the model.Knowledge of this kind provides the basis for steering the model in the forecast period. The article also illustrateshow the model may be used to study effects of interest rate changes
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