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  • 标题:Fiscal headwinds: Is the other shoe about to drop?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Brian Lucking ; Daniel Wilson
  • 期刊名称:FRBSF Economic Letter
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:2013
  • 出版社:Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
  • 摘要:Federal fiscal policy during the recession was abnormally expansionary by historical standards. However, over the past 2½ years it has become unusually contractionary as a result of several deficit reduction measures passed by Congress. During the next three years, we estimate that federal budgetary policy could restrain economic growth by as much as 1 percentage point annually beyond the normal fiscal drag that occurs during recoveries.
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