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  • 标题:The Impact of Population Ageing on the Labour Market: Evidence from Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) Model of Scotland (*)
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Katerina Lisenkova ; Marcel Mérette ; Robert Wright
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers / Business School, University of Strathclyde
  • 出版年度:2012
  • 卷号:2012
  • 出版社:University of Strathclyde
  • 摘要:This paper presents a dynamic Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) model of Scotland. The model is used to examine the impact of population ageing on the labour market. More specifically, it is used to evaluate the effects of labour force decline and labour force ageing on key macro-economic variables. The second effect is assumed to operate through age-specific productivity and labour force participation. In the analysis, particular attention is paid to how population ageing impinges on the government expenditure constraint. The basic structure of the model follows in the Auerbach and Kotlikoff tradition. However, the model takes into consideration directly age-specific mortality. This is analogous to "building in" a cohort-component population projection structure to the model, which allows more complex and more realistic demographic scenarios to be considered
  • 关键词:CGE modelling; population ageing; Scotland
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