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  • 标题:Seasonal fractional integration with structural break. An application to the German GNP data
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Luis Gil-Alana
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:3
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:This paper deals with the analysis of the German nominal GNP quarterly data (1973q1 – 1996q4) using a new approach based on seasonal fractional integration that allows us to incorporate a structural break that is endogenously determined by the model. The results show that the break occurs at 1990q2, the time of the German re-unification, and the order of integration is slightly above 1 before the break, and strictly smaller than 1 (though highly persistent) after the unification.
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