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  • 标题:Bias-Trigger Manipulation and Task-Form Understanding in Monty Hall
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Kim Kaivanto ; Eike B. Kroll ; Michael Zabinski
  • 期刊名称:Economics Bulletin
  • 电子版ISSN:1545-2921
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:34
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:89-99
  • 出版社:Economics Bulletin
  • 摘要:Monty Hall is a difficult task which triggers multiple biases. With sophisticated subjects and treatments that reverse and eliminate these triggers, non-rational choice is greatly reduced. Among task-familiar subjects, non-rational choice can can fall to background-error levels. But as our data also show, task-form recognition is necessary but not sufficient for rational choice when the task calls for conditional probability reasoning rather than simple rule-based behavior, as in e.g. 'Switch in Monty Hall.' Task-form understanding, a more stringent requirement, proves to be necessary and sufficient for rational choice in generalized Monty Hall conditional probability reasoning tasks.
  • 关键词:Monty Hall; task-form understanding; bias triggers; default effect; illusion of control; errors of omission and commission
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