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  • 标题:Real options methodology in public-private partnership projects valuation
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Rakić Biljana ; Rađenović Tamara
  • 期刊名称:Economic annals
  • 印刷版ISSN:0013-3264
  • 电子版ISSN:1820-7375
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:59
  • 期号:200
  • 页码:91-113
  • DOI:10.2298/EKA1400091R
  • 出版社:Faculty of Economics, Belgrade
  • 摘要:

    PPP offers numerous benefits to both public and private partners in delivery of infrastructure projects. However this partnership also involves great risks which have to be adequately managed and mitigated. Private partners are especially sensitive to revenue risk, since they are mostly interested in the financial viability of the project. Thus they often expect public partners to provide some kind of risk-sharing mechanism in the form of Minimum Revenue Guarantees or abandonment options. The objective of this paper is to investigate whether the real option of abandoning the project increases its value. Therefore the binominal option pricing model and risk-neutral probability approach have been implemented to price the European and American abandonment options for the Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) toll road investment. The obtained results suggest that the project value with the American abandonment option is greater than with the European abandonment option, hence implying that American options offer greater flexibility and are more valuable for private partners. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije, br. 179066 and III 42006]

  • 关键词:public-private partnership projects; real options; abandonment option
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