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  • 标题:The Modern Phillips Curve Revisited
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jinpeng Ma
  • 期刊名称:Modern Economy
  • 印刷版ISSN:2152-7245
  • 电子版ISSN:2152-7261
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:188-200
  • DOI:10.4236/me.2014.53020
  • 出版社:Scientific Research Publishing
  • 摘要:The modern Phillips curve is about the relationship between the average rates of inflation and unemployment. We will provide additional empirical evidence in the US economy from 1948:01 to 2013:03 that helps demonstrate why such a relationship has been built on a wrong methodology, as revealed in Ma [1]. An erroneous approach can lead to a misunderstanding of business cycles and a wrongful implementation of monetary policy. In particular, the way how the two rates may evolve is now at a critical moment for the Fed to decide if an exit from its quantitative easing should be initiated.
  • 关键词:Phillips Curve; Business Cycle; Inflation; Unemployment
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