摘要：People in developed countries consume about 3 to 4 times as much meatand fish, and 5 to 6 times as much milk products per capita as in developingAsia and Africa. Yet, meat, milk, and fish consumption per capita has barelygrown in the developed countries as a whole over the past 20 years. Growth inper capita consumption and production has occurred in developing regions suchas developing Asia, where income has increased from a low level andurbanization is rapid. By 2020, according to projections by IFPRI's IMPACTmodel, the share of the developing countries in total world meat consumption willrise from 47 percent currently to 64 percent. The net impact on food access forthe poor of the world will depend on their role as producers of meat, milk, andfish, their role as consumers, and their need for protein. The amount of cerealsper capita consumed directly by rural people will decline as they diversify theirdiets into animal proteins, but feed use will increase greatly. Available evidencesuggests that on balance poor consumers in developing countries will probablybe better off.
