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  • 标题:EVALUATING THE USE OF FUTURES PRICES TO FORECAST THE FARM LEVEL U.S. CORN PRICE
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Hoffman, Linwood A. ; Beachler, Michael
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Food Distribution Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-245X
  • 出版年度:2001
  • 期号:SUPPL
  • 出版社:Food Distribution Research Society
  • 摘要:A model is developed using bases, marketing weights, and a composite of monthly futures and cash prices to forecast a season-average U.S. farm price for corn. Forecast accuracy measures include the mean absolute percentage error and Theil's U-statistic. Futures forecasts are compared with a naïve forecast and WASDE projections. Futures price forecasts are timely and reliable.
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