摘要：This study identifies the potential marine environment and economic effects of El Ni.oon anchovy, herring and sardine fisheries in the eastern equatorial Pacific. By considering the uncertainlyof El Ni.o, this study used a stochastic spatial equilibrium model to evaluate the social welfare gains of 1997/98 El Ni.oforecasts in the international trade of fish-meal.
关键词：International Trade of Fish Meal; ENSO; Stochastic Spatial Equilibrium;Model
