摘要：A chance constrained programming model is developed to assist Queensland barleygrowers make varietal and agronomic decisions in the face of changing productdemands and volatile production conditions. Unsuitable or overlooked in manyrisk programming applications, the chance constrained programming approachnonetheless aptly captures the single-stage decision problem faced by barley growersof whether to plant lower-yielding but potentially higher-priced malting varieties,given a particular expectation of meeting malting grade standards. Di.erentexpectations greatly a.ect the optimal mix of malting and feed barley activities. Theanalysis highlights the suitability of chance constrained programming to this speci￠cclass of farm decision problem.
