摘要：An econometric model representing the United States,Mexico and Caribbean nations melon sectors was estimated to analyzethe primary economic forces in.uencing Mexico's competitiveness inthe U.S. winter melon market, a period when about two-thirds of U.S.consumption is imported. Results show peso-devaluation to be impor-tant in the short-run and yield-enhancing technology to be important inthe short- and long-run. Increased rates of growth in Mexican yieldswere about six times more effective at increasing market share thanNAFTA provisions which phase-out U.S. tariffs. An accelerated rate ofgrowth in Mexican per capita income was found to reduce melonexports about 75% while higher wages would reduce exports about 20%in the long-run.
