文章基本信息
- 标题：The potential impact of climate change on Taiwan's agriculture
- 本地全文：下载
- 作者：Chang, Ching-Cheng
- 期刊名称：Journal of Food Distribution Research
- 印刷版ISSN：0047-245X
- 出版年度：2002
- 页码：51-64
- 出版社：Food Distribution Research Society
- 摘要：This paper intends to estimate tbe potential impact of climate change on Taiwan's agricultural sector. Yield response regression models are used to investigate the climate change's impact on 60 crops. A price-endogenous mathematical programming model is tben used to simulate tbe welfare impacts of yield changes under various climate change scenarios. Results suggest that both warming and climate variations have a significant but non-monotonic impact on crop yields. Society as a whole would not suffer from warming, but a precipitation increase may be devastating to farmers.© 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.
- 关键词：Global warming;Agriculture;Economic impact;Adaptation
