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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Do Economic Restrictions Improve Forecasts?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Murphy, Elizabeth A. ; Norwood, F. Bailey ; Wohlgenant, Michael K.
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Food Distribution Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-245X
  • 出版年度:2003
  • 期号:SUPPL
  • 出版社:Food Distribution Research Society
  • 摘要:A previous study showed that imposing economic restrictions improves the forecasting ability of food demand systems, thus warranting their use even when rejected in-sample. This study attempts to determine whether this is due solely to the fact that restrictions improve degrees of freedom. Results indicate that restrictions improve forecasting ability even when not derived from economic theory, but theoretical restrictions forecast best.
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