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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Forecasting Livestock Feed Cost Risks Using Futures and Options
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Chen, Gang ; Roberts, Matthew C. ; Roe, Brian E.
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Food Distribution Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-245X
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 期号:SUPPL
  • 出版社:Food Distribution Research Society
  • 摘要:The costs of corn- and soybean-based feeds compose a substantial proportion of the variable costs faced by both mainstream and emergent confined livestock producers. This research develops a method to provide a joint distribution of prices of corn and soybean meal at a future time. Black's 1976 option model and stochastic volatility jump diffusion (SVJD) model are compared in volatility forecasting performance. In general, SVJD is superior to Black's model, though their performance is both commodity-specific and forecasting horizon specific.
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