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文章基本信息

  • 标题:VALUING LIMITED INFORMATION IN DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Gray, Allan W. ; Detre, Joshua D. ; Briggeman, Brian C.
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Food Distribution Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-245X
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 期号:SUPPL
  • 出版社:Food Distribution Research Society
  • 摘要:Fresh Juice Inc. (FJI) is in the process of determining whether they should launch a new fruit juice in a market that has been relatively stagnant for the last 15 years. Management of FJI is faced with uncertainty surrounding market share, market size, price, and competitor entry. In addition, FJI has the ability to chose between alternative production processes; this choice directly affects the likelihood the investment will return a positive Net Present Value. This case teaches students how to develop a stochastic simulation models given limited information to analyze risk investment decisions
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