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  • 标题:International traveling and trade: further evidence for the case of Spanish wine based on fractional VAR specifications
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Gil-Alana, Luis A. ; Fischer, Christian
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Food Distribution Research
  • 印刷版ISSN:0047-245X
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 期号:SUPPL
  • 页码:395-418
  • 出版社:Food Distribution Research Society
  • 摘要:This paper deals with the relationship between international travelling and trade. For this purpose we focus on a particular case study: the connection between the Spanish wine exports to Germany and the German travellers to Spain. Unlike previous studies we use a methodology based on fractional vector autoregressive models, which permits us to compute the impulse responses in a similar way as in the standard VAR case. The results show that the orders of integration of the two series are constrained between 0 and 1, being higher for the arrivals series than for the exports. The impulse response analysis reveals that an increase in travelling produces a positive initial impact on trade though it tends to disappear in the long run.
  • 关键词:International trade;Multivariate models;Fractional VAR;Tourism
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