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  • 标题:Spatial and temporal distribution of natural disasters
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Cvetković Vladimir M. ; Dragićević Slavoljub
  • 期刊名称:Journal of the Geographical Institute Jovan Cvijic, SASA
  • 印刷版ISSN:0350-7599
  • 电子版ISSN:1821-2808
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:64
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:293-309
  • DOI:10.2298/IJGI1403293C
  • 出版社:Geographical Institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA
  • 摘要:

    The subject of quantitative research is determining the spatial and temporal distribution of natural disasters worldwide for the period 1900-2013. Considering that it is a mass phenomenon, which consists of multiple units, most preferred scientific method for making conclusions on natural disasters is the statistical method. Thereby, a statistical survey has been conducted in the way that raw data about all natural disasters in the first step were downloaded (25.552) in the form of Excel file from the international database on disasters (CRED) in Brussels, and then analyzed in program for statistical analysis of data SPSS. Within the geospatial distribution the total number and consequences of natural disasters were analyzed by continents. According to the same principle, within temporal analysis we examined distribution of the total number and effects of natural disasters on annual, monthly and daily levels. Statistical results of analysis clearly indicate that the number of natural disasters has increased, with their recorded maximum in the period from 2000 to 2013. Certainly, one can not absolutely say this is true in view of starting to pay serious attention to quantitative indicators. Also, it can not be said that the international database (CRED) included absolutely all natural disasters in the world, considering that it was created thanks to the submission of national reports on natural disasters. Such way of data collection can have serious shortcomings, given the diverse subjectivities. In addition, the question that arises is whether most underdeveloped countries submitted their reports. Bearing in mind the increasing trend in the number and severity of natural disasters in the global geographic space, the survey results represent a good argument for initiation of serious reforms of the system of protection and rescue against natural disasters in countries around the world. Results of research impact on raising awareness among citizens about the seriousness of the consequences of natural disasters to humans, environment and their property.

  • 关键词:security; emergencies; natural disasters; statistical analysis
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