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  • 标题:On the Mechanics of Gold Prices with the Help of Stock - Watson Cointegration Analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Gönül YÜCE AKINCI ; Merter AKINCI ; Ömer YILMAZ
  • 期刊名称:Ekonomik Yaklasim
  • 印刷版ISSN:1300-1868
  • 出版年度:2013
  • 卷号:24
  • 期号:86
  • 页码:55-81
  • DOI:10.5455/ey.35107
  • 语种:Turkish
  • 出版社:International Medical Journal Management and Indexing System
  • 摘要:In this paper, the linkages between gold prices, inflation rates, long-run interest rates and FED balance sheets in USA economy are investigated by using Stock-Watson cointegration and Granger causality analysis in the period 1960-2011. The results of Stock-Watson cointegration analysis show the existence of long-run relationship among the variables mentioned. Besides, the results of Granger causality analysis in the context of Stock-Watson cointegration test indicate that there is unidirectional causality relationship run from long-term interest rates, inflation rates and FED balance sheet in which gold is excluded to gold prices, whereas bidirectional causality nexus between gold prices and FED balance sheet in which gold is included.
  • 关键词:Gold Prices; Inflation Rates; Interest Rates; FED Balance Sheets; Stock-Watson Cointegration Test. JEL Classification: C32; E31; E43.
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