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  • 标题:Decay Factor as a Determinant of Forecasting Models
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Grzegorz Mentel ; Jacek Brozyna
  • 期刊名称:International Journal of Economics and Finance
  • 印刷版ISSN:1916-971X
  • 电子版ISSN:1916-9728
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:7
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:118
  • DOI:10.5539/ijef.v7n1p118
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Canadian Center of Science and Education
  • 摘要:The present discussion focuses on the significance of historical observations which affect current market situations, and consequently impact short term forecasts. The main purpose of the study is to verify the level of importance and perform ranking of information necessary for estimating Value at Risk . Hence, effectiveness of VaR estimates was assessed in the context of volatility modeling by means of exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA), relative to various levels of decay factor l.
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