摘要：Traditional economic development theories have struggled to identify, in a comprehensive manner, the drivers and constraints that explain singular development paths and lead to spatial inequalities. Assuming that development patterns are territory-specific, the research hypothesis is that public policies should have a better understanding of territorial dynamics in order to propose strategies efficient to trigger changes. This paper applies the use of Prospective Structural Analysis (PSA), a foresight analysis technique, to explore the territorial dynamics. The results show that, within a territory, the variables play different roles, and suggest that rural policies might have focused on factors that have few influence in fostering changes rather than on those with leverage effects.
关键词：Rural development policies;territorial rural development;prospective structural analysis
