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  • 标题:Empirically Evaluating the Flexibility of the Johnson Family of Distributions: A Crop Insurance Application
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Lu, Yue ; Ramirez, Octavio A. ; Rejesus, Roderick M.
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Agribusiness
  • 印刷版ISSN:0738-8950
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 页码:79-91
  • 出版社:Journal of Agribusiness
  • 摘要:This article examines the flexibility of the Johnson system of distributions by assessing its per-formance in terms of modeling crop yields for the purpose of setting actuarially fair crop in-surance premiums. Using data from corn farms in Illinois coupled with Monte Carlo simula-tion procedures, we found that average crop insurance premiums computed on the basis of the Johnson system provide reasonably accurate estimates even when the data are normal or come from a non-normal distribution other than the Johnson system (i.e., a beta). These results sug-gest that there is potential for using the Johnson system to rate previously uninsured crops that do not have historical insurance performance data upon which to base premium calculations.
  • 关键词:crop insurance;crop yield modeling;Johnson distribution;premium rate setting
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