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  • 标题:A VECM approach to detangling growth, exports, imports and FDI knot in selected CEE countries
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Žiković, Saša ; Tomas Žiković, Ivana ; Grdinić, Maja
  • 期刊名称:Croatian Operational Research Review
  • 印刷版ISSN:1848-0225
  • 出版年度:2014
  • 卷号:5
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:161-175
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Croatian Operational Research Society
  • 摘要:The authors analyze the relationship between GDP, imports-coverage ratio (NEX), FDI and gross fixed capital formation (GFC) in selected CEE countries by using an error correction model. The empirical results confirm a positive long-run influence of the imports coverage ratio, FDI and GFC on GDP growth for all of the countries, except Croatia. In the case of Croatia, there is a significant negative feedback between FDI and GDP growth in the long run and a positive one in the short run. By using B. Horvat’s research on this subject, a logical explanation of this sort of paradoxical behavior is suggested. The second uncommon result is the long-run positive relationship between GDP and the imports-coverage ratio. The obtained result speaks in favor of a conservative approach to running a national economy, where the current account and the imports-coverage ratio are taken into account and the economic growth is achieved through slower but stable, internally driven growth.
  • 关键词:Error Correction Model; FDI; imports-coverage ratio; gross fixed capital; GDP; economic growth; CEE countries
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