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  • 标题:Tendência temporal da mortalidade por homicídios na cidade de São Paulo, Brasil, 1979-1994
  • 其他标题:Time trends in death rates from homicides in the city of São Paulo, Brazil, 1979-1994
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Barata, Rita Barradas ; Ribeiro, Manoel Carlos Sampaio de Almeida ; Moraes, José Cássio de
  • 期刊名称:Cadernos de Saúde Pública
  • 印刷版ISSN:0102-311X
  • 电子版ISSN:1678-4464
  • 出版年度:1999
  • 卷号:15
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:711-718
  • DOI:10.1590/S0102-311X1999000400005
  • 语种:Portuguese
  • 出版社:Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública,Fundação Oswaldo Cruz
  • 摘要:

    To study homicide trends by gender and age, 1979-1994, Sao Paulo, Brazil, cubic polynomials were used to determine the best model for adjusting to time trends in homicide mortality rates by age and gender in the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil, 1979-1994. The model best adjusted to each group was selected considering the regression coefficient (beta), R² value, residual analysis, and model's simplicity. The results show linear growth for total rates and rates by gender due to behavior of rates in the 20-29 and 30-39 year age groups. The reciprocal model adjusted best to rates for the 40-49 and 50-59 year age groups, while rates for adolescents followed the multiplicative model. There was no significant relationship between homicide rates and time for the remaining groups (under 10 and over 59 years). Rates for males were considerably higher in all age groups. The remarkably steady growth in homicide rates among adolescents and young adults is consistent with trends observed in other urban areas in developing and developed countries and denotes deteriorating living conditions and increased poverty.

  • 关键词:Homicídio;Violência;Saúde Urbana;Mortalidade;Séries Temporais
  • 其他关键词:Homicide;Violence;Urban Health;Mortality;Time Series
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