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  • 标题:Fatores comuns determinantes de crises cambiais e financeiras
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Bessa, Cristina Fátima Martins de ; Moreira, Tito Belchior Silva ; Barata, Maurício de Paula Pinto
  • 期刊名称:Revista de Economia Política
  • 印刷版ISSN:0101-3157
  • 电子版ISSN:1809-4538
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:30
  • 期号:4
  • 页码:604-624
  • DOI:10.1590/S0101-31572010000400004
  • 语种:Portuguese
  • 出版社:Centro de Economia Política
  • 摘要:

    Determinative common factors of currency and financial crisis. This paper identifies and evaluates determinative common factors of currency and financial crisis in relation to 86 crises episodes between 1970-2004, based on factor analysis, cluster and discriminant analysis. One evidenced that the rise of the ratios of domestic credit, fiscal deficit and residents bank deposits to the GDP is inherent to the different types of crises classified for economic literature. It was also identified as common factors to these episodes some indicators that capture the excessive monetary expansion of the economies and that reflect the fall in international reserves, represented by M2/Reserves and Imports/Reserves ratios and also the total volume of international reserves.

  • 其他关键词:currency and financial crisis;factor analysis;discriminant analysis
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