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  • 标题:Asymmetric effects of monetary policy in Brazil
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Aragón, Edilean Kleber da Silva Bejarano ; Portugal, Marcelo Savino
  • 期刊名称:Estudos Econômicos (São Paulo)
  • 印刷版ISSN:0101-4161
  • 电子版ISSN:1980-5357
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:39
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:277-300
  • DOI:10.1590/S0101-41612009000200002
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas da FEA-USP
  • 摘要:

    In this paper, we check whether the effects of monetary policy actions on output in Brazil are asymmetric. Therefore, we estimate Markov-switching models that allow positive and negative shocks to affect the growth rate of output in an asymmetric fashion in expansion and recession states. In general, results show that: i) the real effects of negative monetary shocks are larger than those of positive shocks in an expansion; ii) in a recession, the real effects of positive and negative shocks are the same; iii) there is no evidence of asymmetry between the effects of countercyclical monetary policies; and iv) it is not possible to assert that the effects of a positive (or negative) shock are dependent upon the phase of the business cycle.

  • 关键词:política monetária;assimetrias;choques negativos e positivos;ciclo de negócios;modelos Markovswitching
  • 其他关键词:monetary policy;asymmetries;positive and negative shocks;business cycle;Markov-switching models
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