摘要：The enlargemenr of the Eu in 1995 with Austria, Finland and Sweden had a considerable effect on the Union's policy on forests, and there is reason to believe that further impact will arise from the enlargement in 2004 with ten Central and Eastern European countries. The present study aims at assessing the potential short-medium term change--its extent and direction--of the Forest Strategy 1998 resulting from the enlargement. However, as the assessment is somewhat subjective and based on a small part of the relevent information, emphasis is on the method developed for policy analysis, its merits being that qualitative information is quantifies in a simple and transparent way, making the results easily interpreted and reproducible to a reasonable extent.
