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文章基本信息

  • 标题:ENSO Forecast Value, Variable Climate and Stochastic Prices
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Letson, David ; Podesta, Guillermo ; Messina, Carlos
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Agribusiness
  • 印刷版ISSN:0738-8950
  • 出版年度:2001
  • 期号:suppl
  • 出版社:Journal of Agribusiness
  • 摘要:We evaluate ENSO forecasts when prices are variable and ENSO is a portion of overall climatic variability. Forecast responses include crop mix, cultivar,fertilization, and planting date. Price changes reduce forecast value by excluding responses. Predictable income variability (ENSO-related), as a share of the total, evaluates forecast skill.
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